20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PNWNYSEPinnacle West Capital Corporation | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.07% |
| 2 | CPBNASDAQThe Campbell's Company | 2017-10-052017-11-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.78% |
| 3 | EIXNYSEEdison International | 2020-06-242020-07-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.17% |
| 4 | PCGNYSEPG&E Corporation | 2022-03-172022-04-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.74% |
| 5 | JBHTNASDAQJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 2014-11-052014-12-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.48% |
| 6 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2008-12-092009-01-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -7.49% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -2.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.