20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SNPSNASDAQSynopsys, Inc. | 2023-05-122023-06-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.55% |
| 2 | NXPINASDAQNXP Semiconductors N.V. | 2011-08-312011-09-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -9.12% |
| 3 | DVANYSEDaVita Inc. | 2017-10-102017-11-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -7.44% |
| 4 | WBDNASDAQWarner Bros. Discovery, Inc. | 2014-07-022014-07-30 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -0.82% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -4.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -9.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.