20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RLNYSERalph Lauren Corporation | 2025-10-282025-11-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.69% |
| 2 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2009-02-192009-03-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.14% |
| 3 | RVTYNYSERevvity Inc. | 2025-10-282025-11-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume2.0Risk5.0 | +2.14% |
| 4 | HPQNYSEHP Inc. | 2014-04-152014-05-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.46% |
| 5 | ELVNYSEElevance Health, Inc. | 2010-02-112010-03-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.42% |
| 6 | CHTRNASDAQCharter Communications Inc | 2019-08-052019-08-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.49% |
| 7 | ALGNNASDAQAlign Technology, Inc. | 2022-06-092022-07-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.54% |
| 8 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2020-01-172020-02-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.70% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.1%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -2.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.