20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AMZNNASDAQAmazon.com, Inc. | 2007-05-022007-05-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.48% |
| 2 | EANASDAQElectronic Arts Inc. | 2011-04-202011-05-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.13% |
| 3 | NKENYSENike, Inc. - Class B | 2020-07-222020-08-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.24% |
| 4 | ORCLNYSEOracle Corporation | 2010-08-182010-09-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.67% |
| 5 | VTRSNASDAQViatris Inc. | 2007-03-082007-04-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.76% |
| 6 | MDTNYSEMedtronic plc | 2024-12-232025-01-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.07% |
| 7 | SHWNYSEThe Sherwin-Williams Company | 2021-11-122021-12-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.74% |
| 8 | KONYSEThe Coca-Cola Company | 2010-08-132010-09-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.90% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +2.9%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -1.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.