20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-08.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
62 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DLTRNASDAQDollar Tree, Inc. | 2009-07-022009-07-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.53% |
| 2 | OXYNYSEOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 2016-09-232016-10-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.42% |
| 3 | AJGNYSEArthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 2006-10-202006-11-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.98% |
| 4 | EDNYSEConsolidated Edison, Inc. | 2023-03-212023-04-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.95% |
| 5 | WMTNASDAQWalmart Inc. | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.79% |
| 6 | COSTNASDAQCostco Wholesale Corporation | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.02% |
| 7 | MANYSEMastercard Incorporated | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.65% |
| 8 | XYLNYSEXylem Inc. | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.13% |
| 9 | NWSNASDAQNews Corporation Class B Common Stock | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.10% |
| 10 | JKHYNASDAQJack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 2012-11-142012-12-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.72% |
| 11 | CTASNASDAQCintas Corporation | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.51% |
| 12 | KLACNASDAQKLA Corporation | 2022-07-012022-07-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.18% |
| 13 | NDAQNASDAQNasdaq, Inc. | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.32% |
| 14 | JPMNYSEJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.23% |
| 15 | ADSKNASDAQAutodesk, Inc. | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.68% |
| 16 | STTNYSEState Street Corp | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.62% |
| 17 | NWSANASDAQNews Corporation | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.74% |
| 18 | BRK.BNYSEBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.83% |
| 19 | MSNYSEMorgan Stanley | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.23% |
| 20 | VNYSEVisa Inc. Class A | 2025-04-042025-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.42% |
Showing 1-20 of 62 matches
Commentary
Moderately bullish skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 62 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 77% of the time with a median move of +1.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -10.5%.