20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLMNYSEMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. | 2009-08-312009-09-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.33% |
| 2 | CNCNYSECentene Corporation | 2016-04-112016-05-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.22% |
| 3 | ACNNYSEAccenture plc Class A | 2016-09-142016-10-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.48% |
| 4 | APONYSEApollo Global Management, Inc. | 2012-08-302012-09-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -0.74% |
| 5 | CLXNYSEThe Clorox Company | 2015-07-212015-08-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -6.77% |
| 6 | TSNNYSETyson Foods Inc. | 2025-06-132025-07-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.86% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 83% of the time with a median move of -3.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -6.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.