20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XOMNYSEExxon Mobil Corporation | 2025-03-182025-04-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.75% |
| 2 | EBAYNASDAQeBay Inc. | 2021-08-192021-09-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.59% |
| 3 | LNTNASDAQAlliant Energy Corporation | 2007-07-062007-08-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.61% |
| 4 | CCLNYSECarnival Corporation Ltd. | 2017-04-242017-05-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.69% |
| 5 | GISNYSEGeneral Mills, Inc. | 2020-01-072020-02-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.40% |
| 6 | NVRNYSENVR, Inc. | 2017-06-062017-07-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.32% |
| 7 | ELNYSEThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc. Class A | 2017-09-052017-10-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.32% |
| 8 | ITWNYSEIllinois Tool Works Inc. | 2013-12-172014-01-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.18% |
| 9 | WMTNASDAQWalmart Inc. | 2014-05-222014-06-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.27% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 56% of the time with a median move of +0.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.