20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HPQNYSEHP Inc. | 2009-04-062009-05-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.69% |
| 2 | MARNASDAQMarriott International Inc. - Class A | 2008-01-112008-02-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.63% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -1.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.