20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JCINYSEJohnson Controls International plc | 2008-05-232008-06-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -6.83% |
| 2 | CHRWNASDAQC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | 2015-08-072015-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.70% |
| 3 | BAXNYSEBaxter International Inc. | 2015-01-092015-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.82% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.