20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
1 historical setup matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TPLNYSETexas Pacific Land Corporation | 2018-10-112018-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -20.95% |
Showing 1-1 of 1 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 1 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -20.9%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -20.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.