20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-08.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
109 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EBAYNASDAQeBay Inc. | 2016-10-112016-11-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.24% |
| 2 | DPZNASDAQDomino's Pizza Inc. | 2023-04-182023-05-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.34% |
| 3 | ONNASDAQON Semiconductor Corporation | 2013-07-242013-08-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.14% |
| 4 | CRLNYSECharles River Laboratories International, Inc. | 2009-10-262009-11-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.89% |
| 5 | UPSNYSEUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | 2015-01-132015-02-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.52% |
| 6 | TRMBNASDAQTrimble Inc. | 2014-06-232014-07-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.64% |
| 7 | DXCMNASDAQDexCom, Inc. | 2025-09-102025-10-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.27% |
| 8 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2019-05-062019-06-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.93% |
| 9 | AMATNASDAQApplied Materials, Inc. | 2011-05-202011-06-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.08% |
| 10 | POOLNASDAQPool Corporation | 2007-01-032007-01-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.37% |
| 11 | JBLNYSEJabil Inc. | 2016-03-082016-04-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.92% |
| 12 | GDDYNYSEGodaddy Inc. | 2023-07-262023-08-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.09% |
| 13 | CMGNYSEChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | 2025-07-152025-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.23% |
| 14 | DGNYSEDollar General Corporation | 2010-11-242010-12-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.64% |
| 15 | OTISNYSEOtis Worldwide Corporation | 2025-07-142025-08-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.43% |
| 16 | MNSTNASDAQMonster Beverage Corporation | 2015-04-292015-05-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.13% |
| 17 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2024-10-042024-10-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +7.25% |
| 18 | ALLNYSEAllstate Corporation | 2015-07-242015-08-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.83% |
| 19 | SNPSNASDAQSynopsys, Inc. | 2024-11-252024-12-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.47% |
| 20 | EXPENASDAQExpedia Group, Inc. | 2024-04-242024-05-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.28% |
Showing 1-20 of 109 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 109 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 56% of the time with a median move of -0.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -24.6%.