20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | INTUNASDAQIntuit Inc. | 2022-08-232022-09-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.08% |
| 2 | PCARNASDAQPACCAR Inc. | 2015-10-072015-11-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.99% |
| 3 | SNPSNASDAQSynopsys, Inc. | 2022-08-232022-09-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.22% |
| 4 | DENYSEDeere & Company | 2023-04-142023-05-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.61% |
| 5 | AXONNASDAQAxon Enterprise, Inc. | 2010-05-112010-06-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.44% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 80% of the time with a median move of -3.0%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.