20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RSGNYSERepublic Services, Inc. | 2012-08-212012-09-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.35% |
| 2 | ROKNYSERockwell Automation, Inc. | 2018-08-092018-09-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.45% |
| 3 | BKNYSEThe Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | 2026-03-162026-04-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.82% |
| 4 | TJXNYSEThe TJX Companies, Inc. | 2010-02-262010-03-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.86% |
| 5 | ADMNYSEArcher-Daniels-Midland Co | 2026-04-132026-05-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.53% |
| 6 | ADBENASDAQAdobe Inc. | 2006-11-222006-12-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.81% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +1.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.