20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GRMNNYSEGarmin Ltd. | 2015-08-072015-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.33% |
| 2 | CARRNYSECarrier Global Corporation | 2024-12-032024-12-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.28% |
| 3 | CINYSEThe Cigna Group | 2015-08-072015-09-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.41% |
| 4 | PCARNASDAQPACCAR Inc. | 2007-10-252007-11-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.77% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.