20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FDXNYSEFedEx Corporation | 2019-02-192019-03-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -5.66% |
| 2 | UNHNYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated | 2017-08-022017-08-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.84% |
| 3 | EANASDAQElectronic Arts Inc. | 2022-04-212022-05-18 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +6.50% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +0.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.