20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2016-05-202016-06-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.64% |
| 2 | YUMNYSEYum! Brands, Inc. | 2013-11-082013-12-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.44% |
| 3 | ABBVNYSEAbbVie Inc. | 2013-09-032013-09-30 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +3.04% |
| 4 | WYNNNASDAQWynn Resorts, Limited | 2009-04-212009-05-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -7.97% |
| 5 | SWKSNASDAQSkyworks Solutions Inc. | 2017-07-062017-08-02 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +0.61% |
| 6 | HOODNASDAQRobinhood Markets, Inc. | 2022-03-152022-04-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +1.85% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 67% and a median move of +0.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.