20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIENNYSECiena Corporation | 2021-12-142022-01-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -7.71% |
| 2 | NVDANASDAQNVIDIA Corporation | 2014-05-302014-06-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +2.67% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -2.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -7.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.