20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MPWRNASDAQMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 2007-04-132007-05-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +24.12% |
| 2 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2021-07-202021-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.73% |
| 3 | WSMNYSEWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | 2012-09-262012-10-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.77% |
| 4 | MASNYSEMasco Corporation | 2017-12-272018-01-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.99% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of +0.4%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -3.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.