20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TTNYSETrane Technologies plc | 2021-07-202021-08-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.37% |
| 2 | MANYSEMastercard Incorporated | 2026-04-152026-05-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.02% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -0.2%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -0.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.