20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SNANYSESnap-on Inc. | 2010-04-192010-05-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.29% |
| 2 | VRTXNASDAQVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | 2014-11-262014-12-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.88% |
| 3 | PCGNYSEPG&E Corporation | 2011-09-152011-10-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.24% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +1.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -5.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.