20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNSTNASDAQMonster Beverage Corporation | 2012-02-232012-03-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.33% |
| 2 | ADINASDAQAnalog Devices, Inc. | 2011-10-202011-11-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -11.05% |
| 3 | AOSNYSEA. O. Smith Corporation | 2011-10-202011-11-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.63% |
| 4 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2016-03-022016-03-30 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.51% |
| 5 | GSNYSEThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2008-07-152008-08-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -10.09% |
| 6 | RTXNYSERTX Corporation | 2019-10-312019-11-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.39% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -4.0%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -11.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.