20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SWKSNASDAQSkyworks Solutions Inc. | 2015-01-142015-02-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.85% |
| 2 | MSCINYSEMSCI Inc. | 2013-10-152013-11-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.97% |
| 3 | NEMNYSENewmont Corporation | 2023-11-162023-12-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +0.68% |
| 4 | WTWNASDAQWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 2009-09-012009-09-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.39% |
| 5 | SNANYSESnap-on Inc. | 2019-02-122019-03-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.94% |
| 6 | GPCNYSEGenuine Parts Company | 2013-02-282013-03-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.18% |
| 7 | EDNYSEConsolidated Edison, Inc. | 2011-06-222011-07-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.28% |
| 8 | JKHYNASDAQJack Henry & Associates, Inc. | 2011-06-222011-07-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.45% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 62% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.4%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.