20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSXNASDAQCSX Corporation | 2007-01-312007-02-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -1.65% |
| 2 | CMGNYSEChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | 2018-08-012018-08-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -3.28% |
| 3 | SLBNYSESchlumberger Limited | 2019-01-042019-02-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume2.0Risk5.0 | -3.99% |
| 4 | ULTANASDAQUlta Beauty Inc. | 2012-01-042012-02-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +4.93% |
| 5 | NKENYSENike, Inc. - Class B | 2009-09-162009-10-13 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +2.21% |
| 6 | STENYSESTERIS plc | 2014-08-182014-09-15 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -1.89% |
| 7 | BBYNYSEBest Buy Co., Inc. | 2019-12-052020-01-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | +3.98% |
| 8 | KMBNASDAQKimberly-Clark Corporation | 2014-10-212014-11-17 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | -0.55% |
| 9 | AFLNYSEAflac Inc. | 2016-04-132016-05-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk4.0 | -0.48% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 67% of the time with a median move of -0.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.