20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WSMNYSEWilliams-Sonoma, Inc. | 2019-10-302019-11-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.63% |
| 2 | CATNYSECaterpillar Inc. | 2008-01-152008-02-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.79% |
| 3 | ANYSEAgilent Technologies Inc. | 2014-04-252014-05-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.52% |
| 4 | CFGNYSECitizens Financial Group, Inc. | 2025-10-282025-11-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.54% |
| 5 | TRGPNYSETarga Resources Corp. | 2012-08-102012-09-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +5.20% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 80% of the time with a median move of +2.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.