20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JPMNYSEJPMorgan Chase & Co. | 2010-10-192010-11-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.92% |
| 2 | JBLNYSEJabil Inc. | 2017-02-282017-03-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.35% |
| 3 | CORNYSECencora, Inc. | 2007-01-052007-02-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.24% |
| 4 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2015-08-112015-09-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.11% |
| 5 | TPRNYSETapestry Inc. | 2006-10-062006-11-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.52% |
| 6 | AVGONASDAQBroadcom Inc. | 2014-12-192015-01-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.08% |
| 7 | OXYNYSEOccidental Petroleum Corporation | 2012-07-102012-08-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.03% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 71% of the time with a median move of -0.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.