20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FOXANASDAQFox Corporation | 2025-11-032025-12-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.25% |
| 2 | FOXNASDAQFox Corporation Class B Common Stock | 2025-11-032025-12-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.24% |
| 3 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2024-09-192024-10-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.70% |
| 4 | TXTNYSETextron Inc. | 2012-03-062012-04-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -8.46% |
| 5 | LHXNYSEL3Harris Technologies, Inc. | 2016-09-292016-10-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +1.95% |
| 6 | TERNASDAQTeradyne, Inc. | 2022-06-162022-07-15 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +7.16% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 83% of the time with a median move of +3.7%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -8.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.