20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMBNYSEThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 2014-02-282014-03-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.10% |
| 2 | CINFNASDAQCincinnati Financial Corporation | 2007-05-042007-06-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.05% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -1.1%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.