20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TPRNYSETapestry Inc. | 2022-03-152022-04-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.28% |
| 2 | APTVNYSEAptiv PLC | 2022-03-152022-04-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.09% |
| 3 | MGMNYSEMGM Resorts International | 2022-03-152022-04-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.25% |
| 4 | SLBNYSESchlumberger Limited | 2016-10-052016-11-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.45% |
| 5 | GLWNYSECorning Incorporated | 2012-03-122012-04-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.67% |
| 6 | PGNYSEProcter & Gamble Co | 2011-10-072011-11-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.05% |
| 7 | COONASDAQThe Cooper Companies, Inc. | 2010-08-032010-08-30 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +9.64% |
| 8 | XELNASDAQXcel Energy Inc. | 2011-12-232012-01-24 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.30% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 100% of the time with a median move of +1.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. No historical forward outcomes finished negative, though intra-window downside risk was elevated; the weakest final outcome was +0.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.