20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
6 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEPNASDAQAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc. | 2025-03-272025-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.79% |
| 2 | AMDNASDAQAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 2019-08-282019-09-25 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.16% |
| 3 | CHDNYSEChurch & Dwight Co., Inc. | 2025-03-272025-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -7.81% |
| 4 | EIXNYSEEdison International | 2023-01-092023-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.31% |
| 5 | KDPNASDAQKeurig Dr Pepper Inc. | 2012-03-292012-04-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.01% |
| 6 | SONYSEThe Southern Company | 2025-03-272025-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.45% |
Showing 1-6 of 6 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 6 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 67% and a median move of +0.4%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.