20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LRCXNASDAQLam Research Corporation | 2015-09-102015-10-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.10% |
| 2 | MASNYSEMasco Corporation | 2011-05-242011-06-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.25% |
| 3 | NXPINASDAQNXP Semiconductors N.V. | 2018-08-012018-08-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.74% |
| 4 | CORNYSECencora, Inc. | 2018-01-242018-02-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.46% |
| 5 | LVSNYSELas Vegas Sands Corp. | 2008-04-022008-04-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.04% |
| 6 | COHRNYSECoherent Corp. | 2018-07-182018-08-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.52% |
| 7 | KEYNYSEKeyCorp | 2024-07-232024-08-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.50% |
| 8 | WTWNASDAQWillis Towers Watson Public Limited Company | 2015-07-092015-08-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.78% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 62% and a median move of +0.9%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.