20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PFENYSEPfizer Inc. | 2008-03-172008-04-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.75% |
| 2 | ZTSNYSEZoetis Inc. | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.92% |
| 3 | WSTNYSEWest Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -3.13% |
| 4 | DVNNYSEDevon Energy Corporation | 2013-09-042013-10-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.68% |
| 5 | MANYSEMastercard Incorporated | 2022-07-142022-08-10 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.55% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 80% of the time with a median move of -0.9%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.