20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PMNYSEPhilip Morris International Inc. | 2024-09-192024-10-16 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.70% |
| 2 | ESNYSEEversource Energy | 2017-01-102017-02-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.30% |
| 3 | IPNYSEInternational Paper Company | 2011-11-092011-12-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.85% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.8%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.