20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TMONYSEThermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 2020-09-082020-10-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.56% |
| 2 | TERNASDAQTeradyne, Inc. | 2015-10-012015-10-28 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.67% |
| 3 | DHRNYSEDanaher Corporation | 2020-09-082020-10-05 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | +3.39% |
| 4 | LULUNASDAQlululemon athletica inc. | 2012-02-022012-03-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.11% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -1.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.