20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
8 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PNCNYSEThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. | 2008-04-142008-05-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.42% |
| 2 | CINYSEThe Cigna Group | 2019-08-272019-09-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.74% |
| 3 | WFCNYSEWells Fargo & Company | 2008-04-142008-05-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.30% |
| 4 | TFCNYSETruist Financial Corporation | 2008-04-142008-05-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.65% |
| 5 | USBNYSEU.S. Bancorp | 2008-04-142008-05-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.07% |
| 6 | MSNYSEMorgan Stanley | 2008-04-142008-05-09 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.72% |
| 7 | XYLNYSEXylem Inc. | 2019-01-072019-02-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.55% |
| 8 | PHNYSEParker-Hannifin Corporation | 2024-02-162024-03-15 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.64% |
Showing 1-8 of 8 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 8 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +1.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.