20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MPWRNASDAQMonolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 2012-04-042012-05-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -2.30% |
| 2 | CFNYSECF Industries Holdings, Inc. | 2024-07-032024-07-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.05% |
| 3 | DXCMNASDAQDexCom, Inc. | 2021-03-102021-04-07 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.87% |
| 4 | ADMNYSEArcher-Daniels-Midland Co | 2016-09-092016-10-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.11% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -2.2%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.