20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADBENASDAQAdobe Inc. | 2025-05-072025-06-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.26% |
| 2 | ITNYSEGartner Inc. | 2013-11-052013-12-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.61% |
| 3 | INTCNASDAQIntel Corporation | 2019-10-302019-11-26 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -4.89% |
| 4 | ACNNYSEAccenture plc Class A | 2012-07-312012-08-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.31% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -0.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -4.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.