20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WMTNASDAQWalmart Inc. | 2007-08-062007-08-31 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.12% |
| 2 | AEPNASDAQAmerican Electric Power Company, Inc. | 2025-03-272025-04-24 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.79% |
| 3 | EIXNYSEEdison International | 2023-01-092023-02-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.31% |
| 4 | BRNYSEBroadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. | 2021-08-132021-09-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.63% |
| 5 | DALNYSEDelta Air Lines, Inc. | 2020-03-242020-04-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | +5.37% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +0.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -3.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.