20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2009-12-162010-01-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.20% |
| 2 | STXNASDAQSeagate Technology Holdings plc | 2018-09-112018-10-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -6.72% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -3.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -6.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.