20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
13 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COPNYSEConocoPhillips | 2009-03-202009-04-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.59% |
| 2 | WMBNYSEThe Williams Companies, Inc. | 2020-08-032020-08-28 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.80% |
| 3 | PCGNYSEPG&E Corporation | 2018-06-212018-07-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.77% |
| 4 | TECHNASDAQBio-Techne Corporation | 2021-02-012021-03-01 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.40% |
| 5 | GRMNNYSEGarmin Ltd. | 2014-02-182014-03-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.96% |
| 6 | LOWNYSELowe's Companies Inc. | 2012-11-162012-12-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.68% |
| 7 | TMUSNASDAQT-Mobile US, Inc. | 2022-02-022022-03-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.91% |
| 8 | VZNYSEVerizon Communications Inc. | 2026-01-292026-02-26 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +4.68% |
| 9 | RJFNYSERaymond James Financial Inc. | 2011-03-182011-04-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.21% |
| 10 | TJXNYSEThe TJX Companies, Inc. | 2018-08-202018-09-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.63% |
| 11 | PGRNYSEProgressive Corporation | 2006-12-052007-01-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -4.25% |
| 12 | ROLNYSERollins, Inc. | 2017-07-252017-08-21 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.52% |
| 13 | VSTNYSEVistra Corp | 2018-05-232018-06-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.42% |
Showing 1-13 of 13 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew
Similar setups appeared 13 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 69% of the time with a median move of +1.5%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.4%.