20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZTSNYSEZoetis Inc. | 2016-11-042016-12-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.68% |
| 2 | PKGNYSEPackaging Corporation of America | 2018-05-172018-06-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -5.50% |
| 3 | UPSNYSEUnited Parcel Service, Inc. | 2015-10-192015-11-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.28% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 67% of the time with a median move of +2.3%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.