20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UHSNYSEUniversal Health Services, Inc. | 2012-12-052013-01-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +1.42% |
| 2 | PCGNYSEPG&E Corporation | 2025-05-022025-05-30 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume2.0Risk4.0 | -7.35% |
| 3 | NOCNYSENorthrop Grumman Corporation | 2012-02-292012-03-27 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.62% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 67% and a median move of +0.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -7.3%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.