20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
13 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DHINYSED.R. Horton, Inc. | 2010-01-212010-02-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.36% |
| 2 | NFLXNASDAQNetflix, Inc. | 2008-02-142008-03-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.93% |
| 3 | BGNYSEBunge Global S.A. | 2011-10-172011-11-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.38% |
| 4 | HALNYSEHalliburton Company | 2023-03-222023-04-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -7.01% |
| 5 | CNYSECitigroup Inc. | 2020-11-122020-12-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.74% |
| 6 | CPRTNASDAQCopart Inc. | 2019-08-232019-09-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -3.48% |
| 7 | ZBHNYSEZimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. | 2020-01-232020-02-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -11.64% |
| 8 | GSNYSEThe Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | 2020-11-122020-12-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.01% |
| 9 | JBHTNASDAQJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 2009-11-192009-12-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.72% |
| 10 | CNYSECitigroup Inc. | 2019-05-222019-06-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.55% |
| 11 | EXCNASDAQExelon Corporation | 2011-10-172011-11-11 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.06% |
| 12 | AFLNYSEAflac Inc. | 2015-07-172015-08-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -3.98% |
| 13 | RMDNYSEResMed Inc. | 2023-07-032023-07-31 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -16.05% |
Showing 1-13 of 13 matches
Commentary
Historically negative skew with elevated downside risk
Similar setups appeared 13 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 85% of the time with a median move of -3.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -16.0%.