20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
7 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CINYSEThe Cigna Group | 2015-06-192015-07-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -5.01% |
| 2 | MGMNYSEMGM Resorts International | 2018-04-112018-05-08 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.03% |
| 3 | DENYSEDeere & Company | 2015-10-272015-11-23 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.54% |
| 4 | FNYSEFord Motor Company | 2010-03-162010-04-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +8.76% |
| 5 | CBRENYSECBRE Group Inc. | 2025-05-062025-06-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +6.33% |
| 6 | CINFNASDAQCincinnati Financial Corporation | 2017-04-212017-05-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.13% |
| 7 | MKCNYSEMcCormick & Company, Incorporated | 2012-09-122012-10-09 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | 0.00% |
Showing 1-7 of 7 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 7 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 57% of the time with a median move of +2.1%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -5.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.