20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
5 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ELNYSEThe Estée Lauder Companies Inc. Class A | 2022-11-292022-12-27 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +5.49% |
| 2 | ROPNASDAQRoper Technologies Inc. | 2018-10-252018-11-21 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.86% |
| 3 | CATNYSECaterpillar Inc. | 2015-02-022015-03-02 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.64% |
| 4 | DASHNASDAQDoorDash, Inc. | 2021-05-132021-06-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +13.58% |
| 5 | GNRCNYSEGenerac Holdings Inc. | 2026-02-102026-03-10 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.62% |
Showing 1-5 of 5 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 5 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 60% of the time with a median move of +1.9%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.6%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.