20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
3 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MDTNYSEMedtronic plc | 2021-09-102021-10-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -1.60% |
| 2 | TSLANASDAQTesla, Inc. | 2020-02-272020-03-25 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk3.0 | -10.70% |
| 3 | SYKNYSEStryker Corporation | 2021-09-102021-10-07 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -0.79% |
Showing 1-3 of 3 matches
Commentary
Negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 3 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 100% of the time with a median move of -1.6%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -10.7%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.