20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRGPNYSETarga Resources Corp. | 2016-07-112016-08-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.76% |
| 2 | DDOGNASDAQDatadog, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 2024-05-152024-06-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -2.54% |
| 3 | BKNGNASDAQBooking Holdings Inc. | 2018-07-262018-08-22 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +1.41% |
| 4 | SJMNYSEThe J.M. Smucker Company | 2022-10-272022-11-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +2.99% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 75% of the time with a median move of +2.1%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.5%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.