20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
4 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AKAMNASDAQAkamai Technologies Inc. | 2007-04-052007-05-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.41% |
| 2 | VRSNNASDAQVerisign Inc. | 2025-07-102025-08-06 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | -2.09% |
| 3 | VTRSNASDAQViatris Inc. | 2020-05-212020-06-18 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk4.0 | +0.31% |
| 4 | JNJNYSEJohnson & Johnson | 2007-12-312008-01-29 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility1.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -0.16% |
Showing 1-4 of 4 matches
Commentary
Mild negative historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 4 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished lower 75% of the time with a median move of -0.3%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Downside risk was elevated, with the worst historical outcome at -2.1%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.