20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
11 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BKNGNASDAQBooking Holdings Inc. | 2024-07-172024-08-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.78% |
| 2 | MDTNYSEMedtronic plc | 2025-05-062025-06-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +2.83% |
| 3 | SRENYSESempra | 2017-12-052018-01-03 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.88% |
| 4 | HASNASDAQHasbro Inc. | 2020-07-092020-08-05 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +3.18% |
| 5 | BBYNYSEBest Buy Co., Inc. | 2022-02-032022-03-03 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.2.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -10.42% |
| 6 | TTNYSETrane Technologies plc | 2024-07-172024-08-13 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +2.44% |
| 7 | MOSNYSEMosaic Company | 2015-07-082015-08-04 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.30% |
| 8 | MSINYSEMotorola Solutions, Inc. | 2008-01-042008-02-01 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk3.0 | -11.27% |
| 9 | FENYSEFirstEnergy Corp. | 2023-08-172023-09-14 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.4.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -1.87% |
| 10 | SBUXNASDAQStarbucks Corporation | 2011-01-112011-02-08 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.2.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +0.18% |
| 11 | CPRTNASDAQCopart Inc. | 2015-10-272015-11-23 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.1.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +5.81% |
Showing 1-11 of 11 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes
Similar setups appeared 11 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 55% and a median move of +0.2%. Results varied widely across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -11.3%.