20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
2 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSCNYSENorfolk Southern Corporation | 2012-12-312013-01-29 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.96% |
| 2 | NCLHNYSENorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 2022-07-152022-08-11 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk4.0 | +0.36% |
Showing 1-2 of 2 matches
Commentary
Mixed historical outcomes on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 2 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, outcomes were mixed, with a positive-return rate of 50% and a median move of -0.8%. Results were relatively consistent across historical cases. Historical downside was relatively contained, with the worst outcome at -2.0%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.