20-day closing price history ending 2026-06-12.
Compares the current normalized 20-day setup with every historical match.
5-day forward returns after historically similar setups.
5-day returns across the matched historical setup sample, grouped into return ranges.
9 historical setups matched the current 20-day pattern.
| Match | Symbol | Historical Move | Similarity Score | Forward5D Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SMCINASDAQSuper Micro Computer Inc | 2021-10-212021-11-17 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -1.27% |
| 2 | ONNASDAQON Semiconductor Corporation | 2006-11-222006-12-20 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility5.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +0.79% |
| 3 | CTSHNASDAQCognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 2020-07-162020-08-12 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | -0.13% |
| 4 | AXPNYSEAmerican Express Company | 2024-10-232024-11-19 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility4.0Range Pos.5.0Volume5.0Risk5.0 | +7.01% |
| 5 | CINFNASDAQCincinnati Financial Corporation | 2020-01-232020-02-20 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume3.0Risk5.0 | -12.90% |
| 6 | AMENYSEAmetek Inc. | 2021-10-192021-11-15 | 5.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +1.35% |
| 7 | NDSNNASDAQNordson Corporation | 2024-10-232024-11-19 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +3.55% |
| 8 | TNYSEAT&T Inc. | 2016-06-162016-07-14 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility2.0Range Pos.5.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | -0.58% |
| 9 | FIXNYSEComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 2017-05-252017-06-22 | 4.0 Shape5.0Trend5.0Volatility3.0Range Pos.3.0Volume4.0Risk5.0 | +4.99% |
Showing 1-9 of 9 matches
Commentary
Mild bullish historical skew with elevated downside risk on limited evidence
Similar setups appeared 9 times historically. Over the next 5 trading days, the setup finished higher 56% of the time with a median move of +0.8%. Results were moderately consistent across historical cases. Downside tail risk was high, with the worst historical outcome at -12.9%. The sample was limited, so this should be treated as weak historical evidence.